As Donald Trump’s trial in New York City approaches its closing arguments, a majority of Americans hold the belief that he is guilty of a crime in this particular case. However, there is uncertainty surrounding the jury’s decision following their deliberations next week.
A majority of people, 56 percent to be exact, believe that Trump is definitely or probably guilty of a crime in this case. He has been charged with falsifying business records in order to conceal a “hush money” payment and manipulate the outcome of the 2016 election.
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Opinions on the issue are deeply divided along partisan lines. The majority of Democrats firmly believe that Trump is guilty, whereas about 80% of Republicans hold the opposite view. However, it is worth noting that Republicans are less certain in their stance. While 75% of Democrats are unequivocal in their belief that he is guilty, only 50% of Republicans share the same level of certainty in asserting his innocence.
Opinions regarding the jury’s decision on Trump’s guilt or innocence are divided among the public. Approximately half of the individuals anticipate the jurors to find Trump guilty, while the other half hold the opposite viewpoint. However, it is important to note that these opinions are not set in stone. Interestingly, a larger number of individuals believe that the jurors will “probably” convict Trump rather than “definitely” convict him.
When individuals hold the belief that Trump is guilty, they generally anticipate that the jury will reach a verdict of guilt as well. On the other hand, those who believe he is not guilty of any crime expect a not guilty verdict from the jury. Interestingly, approximately one-third of individuals in each group anticipate that the jury will decide contrary to their own beliefs.
About three-quarters of Americans claim to have some knowledge or awareness of the trial. Interestingly, those who claim to have heard “a lot” about it tend to be more divided in their opinions. These individuals are more likely to align themselves with a particular political party and have stronger convictions about President Trump’s guilt or innocence. This polarization could potentially dampen the significance of the verdict on public opinion.
