According to polling released on Tuesday, President Biden and former President Trump are tied in hypothetical general election matchups in the critical battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
The FAU PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research poll, which included 2,068 individuals from Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, found that the likely parties’ nominees performed comfortably inside the poll’s margin of error in all three states, which Biden won by razor-thin margins in 2020.
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Overall, Trump has a one-point edge over Biden among all voters (44 percent to 43 percent) and likely voters (44 percent to 43 percent).
In Michigan, voters are divided between Trump and Biden, with 45 percent supporting both. Likely voters lean slightly more toward Biden, with 47 percent supporting the president and 46 percent supporting the former president.
In Pennsylvania, Trump leads Biden by two points among all voters (45% to 43%) and likely voters (47% to 45%).
In Wisconsin, Biden leads Trump by two points among all voters (40 percent to 38 percent), but only by one point among likely voters (41 percent to 40 percent).
“Neither side has a meaningful advantage in any of the three states at this time,” Dukhong Kim, an associate professor of political science at FAU, stated.
With such narrow margins, a small number of votes in battleground states can have a huge impact on the outcome of the general election in November.
In The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s national polling average, Trump leads Biden by one point, 45.1 percent to 44.1 percent, which is well within most polls’ margins of error.
We conducted the FAU PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research poll from May 30-31, 2024, with an overall margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.
