As thunderstorms are forecasted to hit New York City with the possibility of hail and damaging winds, New Jersey is gearing up for potential tornadoes amidst the thunderstorms.
According to the National Weather Service (NWS), severe weather is expected in New Jersey on Wednesday. The NWS has issued an outlook which warns of damaging wind gusts and possible tornadoes late in the day as thunderstorms move into the area.
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According to NBC New York, the chance of tornadoes may extend from Pennsylvania to New Jersey, specifically just west of Edison.
Meteorologists have doubts about the possibility of such a weather event occurring, despite the forecast.
According to NWS Meteorologist Bill Goodman, the forecast is shifting away from the possibility of tornadoes and focusing more on the primary concern of destructive winds and the chance of small hail.
According to Tyler Roys, a senior meteorologist at AccuWeather, the likelihood of a tornado occurring in the Staten Island area of New York is quite low. However, he warns that the area is at risk of experiencing damaging winds and flash flooding, particularly in low-lying and poorly drained regions.
According to Roys, while it cannot be ruled out completely, the likelihood of tornadoes in New Jersey is relatively low. The main focus of the threat for tornadoes will be on the south-central and southeastern parts of Pennsylvania. However, it is important to note that tornadoes are not a certainty even in those areas.
When to Expect Thunderstorms in NYC – Here is a timeline of when thunderstorms typically occur in New York City. It is essential to be prepared for these weather events, as they can be dangerous and cause power outages and property damage. Thunderstorms are most common during the summer months, from June to August, but can occur throughout the year. They typically form in the afternoon and evening, with the highest chance of occurrence between 2 pm and 10 pm. It’s important to stay informed about weather conditions and take necessary precautions to stay safe during thunderstorms.
The chances of encountering a stray thunderstorm or a few showers at around 3 p.m. cannot be ruled out. However, the primary storm system is anticipated to arrive in New York City later in the day on Wednesday.
According to Goodman, a line of storms is expected to arrive in the evening. The storms could reach as early as 7 or 8 p.m. and as late as 10 p.m. The timing suggests that the storms could coincide with the end of the evening rush hour, perhaps during the late part of the day or right after sunset.
As per the NWS, severe thunderstorms pose a “slight” risk to the entirety of New York City, parts of downstate New York, and northern New Jersey. The strongest storms may produce winds that surpass 60 mph, warns Goodman.
According to the National Weather Service (NWS), there is still uncertainty regarding the extent to which the strongest storms will move towards the east when they come into contact with the cooler marine air along the coast.
Goodman noted that thunderstorms pass by swiftly, usually lasting only one to two hours with the heaviest rainfall during that timeframe. Any lingering showers after the storm tend to be light in nature.
According to Goodman, these storms are likely to clear out of the city by midnight. However, there is still a possibility of a stray shower passing through overnight.
